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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any neighborhood of Orikhiv by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered if any part of Orikhiv is shaded under a mandatory layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Next, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the Desire shading indicating Russian control must be persistent through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must be persistent until the next finalized ISW update is published, excited of the date. Any continuous shading in Ukraine, Assessed Russia
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