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This market will resolve to Yes if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures anywhere in Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered if any part of Crimean shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Next, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this markets resolution, the Desire shading indicating Russian control must be persistent through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must be persistent until the next finalized ISW update is published, excited of the date. Anytime shading which represents Assessed Russian Control, Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine, or Assessed Russian Gains
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