Cargando…
Este mercado se resolverá a Sí si Israel inicia un cierre importante de su espacio aéreo por la fecha de unión, a las 11:59 PM ET. Este mercado se resolverá a No. Un cierre importante se define como un cierre amplio, cancelación o suspensión completa de la aviación comercial en todo el espacio aéreo de la cocina israelí o una región que abarca la mayoría del espacio aéreo de la cocina israelí, incluidos los vuelos comerciales que transitan, el crédito y el despachado desde ese espacio aéreo. Un cierre de calificación debe aplicarse generalmente a todos los vuelos a través de Israel o a un subconjunto calificador del espacio aéreo israelí. Las cancelaciones limitadas, las demoras, las paradas temporales de tierra o los cierres regionales domésticos no calificarán. Las excepciones limitadas a un cierre amplio, sin embargo, no descalificarán tal cierre del tirón (por ejemplo, exce Tags
Comisión de la plataforma: 2%. Haz clic en una opción para realizar una predicción.
%2 cuota de plataforma
Selecciona una de las opciones anteriores
This market will resolve to Yes if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. A major closure is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be suffi
Prices reflect the market's implied probability of each outcome and update as people trade. Settlement is in USDC with 0% commission. Predictions carry risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.
What SezgiX is, how its short-duration crypto markets work, why event markets resolve against primary sources, and how a single USDC balance covers crypto, politics and sport.
A data-driven look at the Trump 2028 odds — the Republican nomination, the general election, and the family names also in the race. Track live, market-implied probabilities.
Trump impeachment chatter has resurfaced with the new Congress. Prediction markets currently price impeachment probability at 12-18%. This analysis breaks down the actual likelihood using historical data, congressional math, and live market pricing.