
This market will settle as "Yes" if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory in Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between the market's creation and July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a layer specified below on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to No. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading that
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