Why have so few European teams won so far?

Key developments are emerging from the global stage. Record draws and Europe's slow start - is the World Cup lacking jeopardy? Image source, Getty ImagesImage caption, Eight of the 16 matches at this year's World Cup have ended levelByMohamed Moallim, Sport journalist and Gary Rose, Sport journalist in SeattlePublished3 hours agoDraws have been the defining feature of the opening week of the 2026 World Cup. Monday's quartet of fixtures all ended level, with Spain held 0-0 by Cape Verde, Belgium drawing 1-1 with Egypt, Saudi Arabia sharing a 1-1 result with Uruguay and Iran playing out an entertaining 2-2 draw with New Zealand.

It marked the first time since 15 June 1958 that four World Cup matches on a single day had all finished without a winner. More remarkably, the tournament has now produced eight draws from its opening 16 matches. No previous World Cup has recorded as many at the same stage.

The Details

The previous high was seven, set in 1974, 1982 and 1986. The expanded 48-team format may have played a role. With only 16 of the 48 teams eliminated after the group stage, there is less jeopardy attached to an opening draw than in previous tournaments.

Nations could qualify for the last 32 with just three points - three draws would almost certainly secure qualification. According to Football Meets Data, external, with three points, a goal difference of -1 offers an 87. 5% chance of progression.

4% with a -2 difference, and 47. Image source, SportImage caption, World Cup 2026 has produced a record eight draws after 16 matchesEurope feeling the heat? When Belgium drew with Egypt on Monday they became the seventh of 10 teams from Europe to fail to win their opening match.

What Experts Say

Germany, Scotland and Sweden are the only three European teams to kick off their campaigns with wins, beating Curacao, Haiti and Tunisia, respectively. England, Croatia, France, Norway, Austria and Portugal are still to play their opening games. European nations - who were ranked higher than their opposition in eight of the 10 matches - would have been expected to win more, so are the hot conditions in North America playing their part?

'The grass really needed watering'Image source, via Getty ImagesImage caption, Belgium faced Egypt in temperatures climbing above 30C at a lunchtime kick-off in SeattleThe heat was always expected to be a factor at this World Cup, with several matches taking place in high temperatures across three countries. Belgium's draw with Egypt in Seattle was played on what was forecast to be one of the hottest days of the year in the city, with temperatures climbing above 30C at a lunchtime kick-off. Belgium boss Rudi Garcia refused to use the conditions as an excuse, saying: "Whether it is 10 degrees or 30 degrees, we should have done better.

"He did, however, acknowledge the impact on the playing surface, adding: "The grass really needed watering. It was very dry and as a result it was slowing the ball down.

The development has drawn wide international attention, with diplomatic circles watching closely.