'Nothing Ever Happens': This Bot Always Bets 'No' on Polymarket, And It Has a Point

Kripto piyasalarında dikkat çekici bir gelişme yaşandı. 'Nothing Ever Happens': This Bot Always Bets 'No' on Polymarket, And It Has a Point Price data by News Markets 'Nothing Ever Happens': This Bot Always Bets 'No' on Polymarket, And It Has a Point Sterling Crispin's 'Nothing Ever Happens' bot automatically buys "No" on every non-sports Polymarket it finds. By Jose Antonio Lanz Edited by Guillermo Jimenez Apr 15, 2026 Apr 15, 2026 4 min read Polymarket. Image: Shutterstock/ Create an account to save your articles.

Add on Google Add as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. In brief Polymarket's own data confirms 73. 3% of all resolved markets end in "No.

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" The bot's 65-cent price cap filters overpriced markets, preserving its statistical edge. Polymarket's top earners are sports bettors with domain expertise, not systematic "No" bettors. Someone built a prediction market bot with a philosophy borrowed from the most cynical person at every dinner table—the one who always argues “nothing ever happens.

” The bot , created by engineer Sterling Crispin, automatically buys "No" on every non-sports market on Polymarket it finds and holds to resolution. The entire trading strategy fits in one sentence. Turns out, that might actually be enough to make your bags grow—kinda.

The premise rests on a number Polymarket publishes openly: 73. 3% of all resolved markets on the platform end in "No. " Crispin cited a nearly identical figure—73.

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4%—when he announced the bot on X earlier this week, a post that collected 3. Polymarket's own accuracy page confirms the data, explaining that "there are usually more ways for something not to happen than to happen in one exact way. " The observation cuts to something real about how prediction markets are built.

Most questions on Polymarket are framed around specific events materializing by a deadline: Will a particular official resign, will a specific bill pass, will prices breach a round number. The status quo has a structural advantage—it only needs to hold, while the Yes outcome needs one precise chain of events to complete on schedule. When the deadline passes and nothing materializes, the bets on “No” collect.

The effect is amplified in longer-running markets. Our own quick analysis of over 2,300 closed Polymarket positions shows that markets open for 90 to 180 days resolve “No” at a rate of 73. 5%, nearly matching the platform's overall published figure.

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